Guide To Sports Betting...Part 1
Welcome to the first installation of my article series on the Guide to Sports Betting.
Who am I?Well, my clients call me the Sensei.
Basically, I am a teacher.
I run a sports betting syndicate on the web, but more importantly I try to teach sports gamblers how to be sports investors.
I decided to help folks out because I have done very well in this business through trial and error, seeing other peoples' mistakes, and by using some of the same business models I used through my previous corporate career.
I have written an E-Book that I have sold on eBay for almost a year and have sold numerous copies through that site and through my own web page.
Through years of experience, I have unlocked the code to making money in this business.
I am the only one who has decided to put the keys of success into writing.
You can not find another source on the subject.
There are many articles written on how to select games, but none written on what to do with them.
I will teach you, but you must be willing to learn.
Until now, there has not been written one single unbiased analysis of how to run your sports investing business.
Trust me, I have looked.
There are many sites to show you what games to play and advice on money management, but nothing on how to make this work.
Here is where I come in.
All you need to know is that I win, and I will help you win, as long as you agree to follow these simple rules: 1.
Play games from only one source at a time.
2.
Manage your money.
3.
Treat this as your own business.
That CAN'T be it you must be thinking to yourself..
..
But it is.
These simple rules are so very hard to follow.
In the pages you are about to read, I will show you how.
I can tell you this because I have tripped over them many times before I became a master in sports investing.
I have seen statistics that somewhere between only 1% and 15% of the public wins money in this business.
Who really knows the true result, but the main reason for this is lack of discipline.
It's a head game, and a game of emotion.
If you take emotion out of the equation and treat this as a business, then there is hope for you.
You can and will make money in sports investing.
Let's tackle the first point...
Play Games from Only One Source at a Time There are many services out there that can provide you with information on games.
Regardless of what they tell you, they fall into one of 2 categories: 1.
Services that handicap the games 2.
Services that broker information Handicappers This category consists of people who track trends, results, injuries other environmental factors to arrive at an independent conclusion on the game.
They will compare their analysis to the line, and determine which side to favor.
I have found that a good handicapper will win anywhere between 55%-59% of his plays.
This will make you money over the long haul, but it will not make you rich.
Brokers Brokers gather and assess the facts, and suggest a play to their clients.
This is similar to a stock broker who analyzes the stock market, understands what is occurring on the trading floor, and uses all available information to make a decision.
I have seen good brokers average in the low to mid sixties, but have also seen some over 70% for periods of time, but this is very rare.
I am neither a handicapper nor a broker, but a combination of all that is.
Based on this information about brokers and cappers, who do you think you want to align yourself with?Regardless of what you choose to do, only play the games of one information source at a time.
Pick a source and stick with them for at least a month.
First, look at their long term record.
If they are 60% or better, they are worth looking into.
Then, check out their recent history.
If they are on a winning streak, wait until it ends.
Then wait again for them to get a few losers out of their system.
Then jump on board.
Why would you do this?Because streaks do not last forever, and the losing streaks are shorter than the winning streaks for the good sources, that's why.
You don't want to jump aboard and lose your first games.
It happens, but this strategy may help you get started off well.
Then give your service one month and play only their games.
Play just theirs, not yours or games from anyone else.
Stop here and read the last sentence again.
Then think about it 100 more times.
If you can control yourself and do this, you will win.
If not, you are throwing your money away and have no chance.
No chance at all.
If you are anywhere near 60%, stay with that service.
Do not start to hunt for another, and definitely do not switch.
Anyone that hits 60% can hit 70%, and that is where you make a killing.
Give them the time to go on that 70%, because with that you will be set.
This roll will build your base for your investing strategy for the rest of your life.
You will be investing with your profits, so it will become easier and easier to make your investments.
After this first month yields profits, give them another month.
Anything shorter than this will not provide you with a true sense of their ability to help you.
Track your picks daily and keep your own record.
This is the only way you will really know how you are doing.
I have provided more information on money management and expected profit scenarios in the chapter on making this a business.
If you play games from more than one source at a time, games will overlap.
If you see 2 cappers picking the same game, you might think its extra strong and put more money on it.
Don't.
I promise you, this is no way to place wagers.
Nobody knows what the outcome will be, and just because you tripped across 2 sources with a consistent opinion, this is no stronger a play than any other.
See, the books make the line where they will get equal action on either side of the game, so even though you found 2, 3, or even 4 on one side of the game, there are at least that many on the other side.
Conversely, if the sources take differing opinions on a game, you will begin to sweat and question your choice.
You will then not play the game, or you may play it for much less than you otherwise would have, thus deviating from the plan.
And then the game will win and you will have lost.
If you don't believe me, try this out for a while and see what happens.
I am not trying to be irreverent.
Rather, I am trying to help you avoid the pitfalls that make most lose, and the same pitfalls that I have learned from.
But heed my warning: You will lose if you ignore this first rule.
You will lose badly and you will lose quickly.
It will make you sick because you are so close to winning, and you just couldn't control yourself.
You had the tools of the Sensei and you chose to ignore them.
Please do not be that person.
There are so many services trying to get your attention and your business.
Some of the things to look at are as follows: 1.
Price 2.
Access of information 3.
Time of information There is no direct correlation between price and winning.
You will not receive more winners paying $1,000 per month compared to $1,000 for the season.
Everyone has their price, and it is up to you to determine what is fair.
All I can tell you is that your concept of fair becomes easier to understand when you are winning.
Do not get caught up in the hype of a cold call.
You will receive calls from everyone from New York to Los Angeles, and obviously Vegas, trying to get your business with the "greatest game ever".
Yeah, right.
Unless they are playing in the game and they are going to throw it themselves, there is no way anyone's information will help you win.
I don't care if the referees are on the take, or if the pitcher has the flu.
Do not get caught up in the hype.
Hype causes losers.
You will get a call after your source loses 3 in a row, and you will start to think you need to switch.
Don't.
Don't play the game from an anonymous source just because you are on a short losing streak.
This will only hurt your results.
This is the type the hype call will lose and your guy will win for you, and you just lost because you didn't stick to the plan.
Find your plan and stick to it.
Late information is no better than early information.
I don't care what you hear.
It's just not.
You want information early so you can play the game before the line moves against you.
You want to receive the information on your terms, and not wait for someone to call you with a game.
You want the game to be emailed to you or posted on a web site.
This way, you can access it via text message to your cell phone, or you can access games at your leisure on the net.
If you can not get the games on your terms, move on to someone else.
Play games from only one source at a time, otherwise you will lose, and your dream will end abruptly.
I hope your dream becomes alive today and that you never see the day of failure.
Follow my plan and be patient, and the day of failure will never arrive.
Most think the hard part is picking winners.
I believe it's what you do with them that makes this business so hard.
Why?Because nobody has spelled out what to do...
until now!Keep it simple, and stick to the plan.
Thanks for reading and I hope this helps get your head in the right direction.
Parts 2 and 3 to come shortly!
Who am I?Well, my clients call me the Sensei.
Basically, I am a teacher.
I run a sports betting syndicate on the web, but more importantly I try to teach sports gamblers how to be sports investors.
I decided to help folks out because I have done very well in this business through trial and error, seeing other peoples' mistakes, and by using some of the same business models I used through my previous corporate career.
I have written an E-Book that I have sold on eBay for almost a year and have sold numerous copies through that site and through my own web page.
Through years of experience, I have unlocked the code to making money in this business.
I am the only one who has decided to put the keys of success into writing.
You can not find another source on the subject.
There are many articles written on how to select games, but none written on what to do with them.
I will teach you, but you must be willing to learn.
Until now, there has not been written one single unbiased analysis of how to run your sports investing business.
Trust me, I have looked.
There are many sites to show you what games to play and advice on money management, but nothing on how to make this work.
Here is where I come in.
All you need to know is that I win, and I will help you win, as long as you agree to follow these simple rules: 1.
Play games from only one source at a time.
2.
Manage your money.
3.
Treat this as your own business.
That CAN'T be it you must be thinking to yourself..
..
But it is.
These simple rules are so very hard to follow.
In the pages you are about to read, I will show you how.
I can tell you this because I have tripped over them many times before I became a master in sports investing.
I have seen statistics that somewhere between only 1% and 15% of the public wins money in this business.
Who really knows the true result, but the main reason for this is lack of discipline.
It's a head game, and a game of emotion.
If you take emotion out of the equation and treat this as a business, then there is hope for you.
You can and will make money in sports investing.
Let's tackle the first point...
Play Games from Only One Source at a Time There are many services out there that can provide you with information on games.
Regardless of what they tell you, they fall into one of 2 categories: 1.
Services that handicap the games 2.
Services that broker information Handicappers This category consists of people who track trends, results, injuries other environmental factors to arrive at an independent conclusion on the game.
They will compare their analysis to the line, and determine which side to favor.
I have found that a good handicapper will win anywhere between 55%-59% of his plays.
This will make you money over the long haul, but it will not make you rich.
Brokers Brokers gather and assess the facts, and suggest a play to their clients.
This is similar to a stock broker who analyzes the stock market, understands what is occurring on the trading floor, and uses all available information to make a decision.
I have seen good brokers average in the low to mid sixties, but have also seen some over 70% for periods of time, but this is very rare.
I am neither a handicapper nor a broker, but a combination of all that is.
Based on this information about brokers and cappers, who do you think you want to align yourself with?Regardless of what you choose to do, only play the games of one information source at a time.
Pick a source and stick with them for at least a month.
First, look at their long term record.
If they are 60% or better, they are worth looking into.
Then, check out their recent history.
If they are on a winning streak, wait until it ends.
Then wait again for them to get a few losers out of their system.
Then jump on board.
Why would you do this?Because streaks do not last forever, and the losing streaks are shorter than the winning streaks for the good sources, that's why.
You don't want to jump aboard and lose your first games.
It happens, but this strategy may help you get started off well.
Then give your service one month and play only their games.
Play just theirs, not yours or games from anyone else.
Stop here and read the last sentence again.
Then think about it 100 more times.
If you can control yourself and do this, you will win.
If not, you are throwing your money away and have no chance.
No chance at all.
If you are anywhere near 60%, stay with that service.
Do not start to hunt for another, and definitely do not switch.
Anyone that hits 60% can hit 70%, and that is where you make a killing.
Give them the time to go on that 70%, because with that you will be set.
This roll will build your base for your investing strategy for the rest of your life.
You will be investing with your profits, so it will become easier and easier to make your investments.
After this first month yields profits, give them another month.
Anything shorter than this will not provide you with a true sense of their ability to help you.
Track your picks daily and keep your own record.
This is the only way you will really know how you are doing.
I have provided more information on money management and expected profit scenarios in the chapter on making this a business.
If you play games from more than one source at a time, games will overlap.
If you see 2 cappers picking the same game, you might think its extra strong and put more money on it.
Don't.
I promise you, this is no way to place wagers.
Nobody knows what the outcome will be, and just because you tripped across 2 sources with a consistent opinion, this is no stronger a play than any other.
See, the books make the line where they will get equal action on either side of the game, so even though you found 2, 3, or even 4 on one side of the game, there are at least that many on the other side.
Conversely, if the sources take differing opinions on a game, you will begin to sweat and question your choice.
You will then not play the game, or you may play it for much less than you otherwise would have, thus deviating from the plan.
And then the game will win and you will have lost.
If you don't believe me, try this out for a while and see what happens.
I am not trying to be irreverent.
Rather, I am trying to help you avoid the pitfalls that make most lose, and the same pitfalls that I have learned from.
But heed my warning: You will lose if you ignore this first rule.
You will lose badly and you will lose quickly.
It will make you sick because you are so close to winning, and you just couldn't control yourself.
You had the tools of the Sensei and you chose to ignore them.
Please do not be that person.
There are so many services trying to get your attention and your business.
Some of the things to look at are as follows: 1.
Price 2.
Access of information 3.
Time of information There is no direct correlation between price and winning.
You will not receive more winners paying $1,000 per month compared to $1,000 for the season.
Everyone has their price, and it is up to you to determine what is fair.
All I can tell you is that your concept of fair becomes easier to understand when you are winning.
Do not get caught up in the hype of a cold call.
You will receive calls from everyone from New York to Los Angeles, and obviously Vegas, trying to get your business with the "greatest game ever".
Yeah, right.
Unless they are playing in the game and they are going to throw it themselves, there is no way anyone's information will help you win.
I don't care if the referees are on the take, or if the pitcher has the flu.
Do not get caught up in the hype.
Hype causes losers.
You will get a call after your source loses 3 in a row, and you will start to think you need to switch.
Don't.
Don't play the game from an anonymous source just because you are on a short losing streak.
This will only hurt your results.
This is the type the hype call will lose and your guy will win for you, and you just lost because you didn't stick to the plan.
Find your plan and stick to it.
Late information is no better than early information.
I don't care what you hear.
It's just not.
You want information early so you can play the game before the line moves against you.
You want to receive the information on your terms, and not wait for someone to call you with a game.
You want the game to be emailed to you or posted on a web site.
This way, you can access it via text message to your cell phone, or you can access games at your leisure on the net.
If you can not get the games on your terms, move on to someone else.
Play games from only one source at a time, otherwise you will lose, and your dream will end abruptly.
I hope your dream becomes alive today and that you never see the day of failure.
Follow my plan and be patient, and the day of failure will never arrive.
Most think the hard part is picking winners.
I believe it's what you do with them that makes this business so hard.
Why?Because nobody has spelled out what to do...
until now!Keep it simple, and stick to the plan.
Thanks for reading and I hope this helps get your head in the right direction.
Parts 2 and 3 to come shortly!
